Economic Indicators for United States | Sigmanomics | Sigmanomics

Economic Indicators for United States

Indicator	Last	Previous	Highest	Lowest	Unit
World Crude Oil Consumption Forecast	106.630779	105.456504	106.630779	104.780901
World Crude Oil Production Forecast	108.882841	109.126203	109.126203	108.280925
GDP Price Index QoQ	6.4	3.6	6.4	3.6	B
GDP Growth Rate QoQ	1.5	2.1	2.1	1.5	%
GDP Sales QoQ	2.2	1.9	2.2	1.9	B
Core PCE Prices QoQ	3.6	4.4	4.4	3.4
Real Consumer Spending QoQ	3.4	0.5	3.4	0.5
PCE Prices QoQ	5.3	4.6	5.3	4.6
Corporate Profits QoQ	8.2	0.5	8.2	0.5	%
6-Month Bill Auction	4.285	4.155	4.285	4.06
3-Month Bill Auction	4.11	4.015	4.11	3.97
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	9.8	11.6	11.6	0
5-Year Breakeven Inflation	2.33	2.34	2.41	2.31	%
10-Year Breakeven Inflation	2.34	2.34	2.35	2.33	%
S&P 500 Index	7683.69	7743.41	7764.7	7637.76
10Y-3M Treasury Spread	0.96	0.93	0.96	0.79
10Y-2Y Treasury Spread	0.32	0.36	0.36	0.2
USD/EUR Exchange Rate	1.14	1.1373	1.1542	1.1373	%
JPY/USD Exchange Rate	157.18	158.92	158.92	155.08	%
Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad)	120.33	120.5521	120.5521	118.8822	B
30-Year Treasury Yield	5.49	5.47	5.49	5.29
Fed Funds Daily	3.88	3.88	3.88	3.88
High Yield Spread (ICE BofA)	2.93	2.8	2.93	2.66
2-Year Treasury Yield	4.81	4.87	4.87	4.67
10-Year Treasury Yield	5.17	5.18	5.18	4.94
CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions	281.6	261.2	281.6	261.2
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions	-133.2	-100.5	-76	-133.2
CFTC Corn speculative net positions	535.8	542.4	543	535.8
CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions	-216.5	-221.6	-216.5	-221.6
CFTC Silver Speculative net positions	25.4	25.3	26	25.3
CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions	141.1	135.9	141.1	135.9
CFTC Copper Speculative net positions	90.5	75.1	92.5	75.1
CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions	-0.8	-0.4	-0.3	-0.8
CFTC Gold Speculative net positions	225.9	230.3	232	225.9
CFTC Wheat speculative net positions	-7.4	1.2	10.5	-7.4
CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions	56.1	33.7	56.1	20.9
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count	455	452	455	445
Atlanta Fed GDPNow	5	5.1	6.2	1.3	B
Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations	4.6	4	4.6	4	%
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM	0.1	1.4	1.4	-4.3
Durable Goods Orders MoM	0	0.9	0.9	-4
Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air	1.6	0.6	1.9	0.6
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM	0.3	0.7	1.8	0.3
Michigan Consumer Expectations	46.3	51.5	55.4	46.3
Michigan Inflation Expectations	4.6	4	4.6	4	%
Michigan Current Conditions	50.9	51.9	54.9	47.7
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations	3.4	3.3	3.4	3.3	%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment	48.1	51.7	55.2	48.1
Central Bank Balance Sheet	6.748	6.747	6.748	6.741
7-Year Note Auction	5.085	4.512	5.085	4.512
30-Year Mortgage Rate	7.03	6.95	7.03	6.76	%
15-Year Mortgage Rate	6.42	6.26	6.42	6.09	%
4-Week Bill Auction	3.85	3.82	3.85	3.775
8-Week Bill Auction	3.99	3.92	3.99	3.845
Kansas Fed Composite Index	14	10	14	9
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index	20	17	20	17
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change	53	44	87	28
New Home Sales	0.684	0.643	1.6	-4.3	M
Continuing Jobless Claims	1719	1717	1821	1717
Jobless Claims 4-Week Average	202.25	204	224.5	198.75
Current Account	-246	-212.6	-212.6	-246	B
Initial Jobless Claims	197	198	197000	187
Building Permits	1.394	1.433	1.433	1.367
Building Permits MoM	-2.7	4.3	4.3	-3
Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet)	6747704	6747704	6747704	6747704
5-Year Note Auction	5.033	4.393	5.033	4.393
2-Year FRN Auction	0.04	0.055	0.055	0.04
17-Week Bill Auction	4.135	4.03	4.135	4.03
EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW	-2.8	-1	-1	-2.8	%
Crude Oil Imports	0.369	-1.18	0.369	-1.18	M
EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change	-0.519	-0.256	-0.256	-0.519
EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change	0.346	0.684	0.684	0.346
EIA Gasoline Production Change	-0.054	0.336	0.336	-0.054
EIA Crude Oil Imports Change	0.369	-1.18	0.369	-1.18	M
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change	2.969	-0.64	17.422	-7.167
EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change	-0.068	-0.121	-0.068	-0.121
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change	-1.686	0.794	0.794	-1.686
EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change	2.266	-0.342	2.266	-0.342
EIA Distillate Stocks Change	-0.428	1.585	1.585	-3.473
S&P Global Services PMI	58.7	56.5	58.7	51.2
S&P Global Composite PMI	58.4	56	58.4	51.9
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	57	53.9	57	53.8
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate	7.12	6.97	7.12	6.97	%
MBA Mortgage Applications	-1.5	-4.1	-1.5	-4.1
MBA Mortgage Market Index	227.3	230.8	230.8	227.3
MBA Mortgage Refinance Index	611	627.1	627.1	611
MBA Purchase Index	154.9	156.2	156.2	154.9
CBOE VIX	14.21	14.21	15.44	14.21
WTI Crude Oil Price	96.41	96.41	107.02	96.41
Brent Crude Oil Price	114.89	114.89	130.8	114.89
API Crude Oil Stock Change	1.786	7.14	9.072	-6.072
M2 Money Supply MoM	23.34	23.22	23.34	23.22
Money Supply	23.34	23.22	23.34	23.05
2-Year Note Auction	4.787	4.204	4.787	4.204
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	-2	4	5	-2
Richmond Fed Services Index	0	-8	0	-8
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index	-5	11	11	-5
Redbook YoY	7.6	8.5	8.5	7.6	%
Regular Gas Price	4.478	4.478	4.478	4.478
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	-0.04	0.08	0.08	-0.19
St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index	-0.9075	-0.9075	-0.9075	-0.9075
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions	-0.555	-0.555	-0.555	-0.555
Leading Index MoM	-0.1	0.2	0.2	-0.2
Industrial Production YoY	1.4	1.13	1.6	1.1	%
Manufacturing Production YoY	0.9	1.2	1.5	0.9	%
Manufacturing Production MoM	-0.3	0.2	0.2	-0.3
Capacity Utilization	76.3	76.3	76.3	76.1
Industrial Production MoM	0	0.2	0.2	0
10-Year TIPS Auction	2.653	2.438	2.653	2.438
Pending Home Sales MoM	0.3	-2.6	3.5	-5.4	M
Pending Home Sales YoY	-4.7	-2.2	4.8	-4.7	%
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index	37.8	47.4	47.4	10.3
Housing Starts	1.275	1.309	1.427	1.199
Housing Starts MoM	-2.6	-9	19	-15.2
Philly Fed Business Conditions	52.9	73.6	73.6	52.9
Philly Fed CAPEX Index	37.1	48.2	48.2	37.1
Philly Fed Employment	11.8	27.9	27.9	11.8
Philly Fed New Orders	29.2	30.1	30.1	29.2
Philly Fed Prices Paid	48.6	40.9	48.6	40.9
Business Inventories MoM	0	0.4	0.6	0
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM	-0.3	-0.2	1	-0.3	M
Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM	-0.2	0.4	0.8	-0.2	M
Retail Sales YoY	5	6.8	7.3	5	%
Retail Sales MoM	-0.6	0.2	1	-0.6	M
Core PPI YoY	4.2	4.7	4.7	4.2	%
Core PPI MoM	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2
Producer Price Index MoM	0	-0.1	0	-0.1
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY	4.7	5	5	4.7	%
PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.1	B
Producer Price Index	156.563	156.607	156.607	156.563
Producer Price Index YoY	4.7	5.5	5.5	4.7	%
Monthly Budget Statement	-432	-120	-120	-432
Budget Balance	-432	-120	-120	-432
Core Inflation Rate MoM	0.2	0	0.2	0	%
Inflation Rate MoM	0.1	-0.4	0.5	-0.4	%
Core Inflation Rate YoY	2.5	2.6	2.9	2.5	%
Inflation Rate YoY	3.4	3.5	4.2	3.4	%
CPI	333.92	333.95	335.12	333.92
CPI s.a	332.81	332.57	333.979	332.568
Core CPI YoY	2.5	2.6	2.9	2.5	%
CPI YoY	3.4	3.5	4.2	3.4	%
CPI MoM	0.1	-0.4	0.5	-0.4
Core CPI MoM	0.2	0	0.2	0
Existing Home Sales MoM	-1.7	-1.4	3.7	-2.4	M
Existing Home Sales	4.06	4.13	4.19	4.06	M
NFIB Business Optimism Index	99.8	97.4	99.8	95.3
Consumer Credit Change	14.17	-1.08	14.17	-1.08
Consumer Inflation Expectation	3.6	3.7	3.7	3.5	%
Participation Rate	61.4	61.5	61.8	61.4	%
U-6 Unemployment Rate	7.9	7.9	8.1	7.9	%
Non Farm Payrolls	-23	20	129	-23
Average Hourly Earnings YoY	3.2	3.4	3.5	3.2	%
Unemployment Rate	4.1	4.2	4.3	4.1	%
Average Weekly Hours	34.3	34.3	34.3	34.3
Manufacturing Payrolls	5	11	11	-2
Government Payrolls	-53	-10	32	-53
Nonfarm Payrolls Private	30	30	97	30
Average Hourly Earnings MoM	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1
Wholesale Inventories MoM	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2
Unit Labour Costs QoQ	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3
Nonfarm Productivity QoQ	1.4	0.8	1.4	0.8
Challenger Job Cuts	33.429	45.849	45.849	33.429
ISM Services Business Activity	59.1	55.4	59.1	55.4
ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment	47.4	51.2	51.2	47.4
ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders	57.2	55.1	57.2	55.1
ISM Services PMI	54.1	54	54.1	54
ISM Services Employment	47.4	51.2	51.2	47.4
ISM Services New Orders	57.2	55.1	57.2	55.1
ISM Services Prices	70.3	67.7	70.3	67.7
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI	54.1	54	54.1	54
ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices	70.3	67.7	70.3	67.7
ADP Employment Change	44	95	95	44
JOLTs Job Quits	3.232	3.153	3.232	3.153
Economic Optimism Index	45.1	45.5	45.5	42.5
JOLTs Job Openings	7.359	7.537	7.537	7.359
Factory Orders ex Transportation	-0.4	2	2	-0.4
Factory Orders MoM	-0.3	-1.1	-0.3	-1.1
Balance of Trade	-73.3	-77.6	-54.6	-77.6	B
Exports	314.7	317.6	328.2	314.7	M
Imports	388	395.3	395.3	382.8	M
Total Vehicle Sales	24.1	16.5	24.1	16.1	M
ISM Manufacturing Employment	52.8	49.7	52.8	49.7
Construction Spending MoM	-0.1	0	0	-0.1
ISM Manufacturing PMI	55.6	53.3	55.6	53.3
ISM Manufacturing Prices	71.1	73	73	71.1
ISM Manufacturing New Orders	56.7	56	56.7	56
Chicago PMI	57.6	56.7	57.6	56.7
Employment Cost Index QoQ	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9
Employment Cost - Wages QoQ	0.9	0.8	0.9	0.8
Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ	1	1.2	1.2	1
Personal Income MoM	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.2
PCE Price Index MoM	-0.1	0.5	0.5	-0.1
PCE Price Index YoY	3.7	4.1	4.1	3.7	%
Gross Domestic Product QoQ	1.5	2.1	2.1	1.5
Core PCE Price Index MoM	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1
Core PCE Price Index YoY	3.3	3.4	3.4	3.3	%
Personal Spending MoM	0.3	0.9	0.9	0.3
Fed Interest Rate Decision	3.75	3.75	3.75	3.75	%
Dallas Fed Services Index	6.6	2.9	6.6	2.9
Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index	9.5	9.8	9.8	9.5
CB Consumer Confidence	90.8	92.2	92.2	90.8
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY	1.6	1.2	1.6	1.2	%
House Price Index MoM	0.3	-0.1	0.3	-0.1
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM	0.9	1	1	0.9
House Price Index YoY	2.2	2	2.2	2	%
House Price Index	442.4	441.3	442.4	441.3
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM	-0.2	0.2	0.6	-0.2
Goods Trade Balance	-101.5	-105.89	-101.5	-105.89	B
Goods Trade Balance Adv	-101.5	-105.89	-101.5	-105.89	B
Export Prices YoY	10.2	11.3	11.3	10.2	%
Import Prices MoM	0.3	1.7	1.7	0.3	M
Export Prices MoM	-0.6	1.2	1.2	-0.6	M
Import Prices YoY	7.1	6.7	7.1	6.7	%
NAHB Housing Market Index	34	36	36	34
Net Long-Term TIC Flows	232.7	104.8	232.7	104.8	B
Fed Balance Sheet	6.736	6.725	6.736	6.725