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Portugal Budget Balance
-6.3
Actual
-6
Consensus
-6.7
Previous
THE RELEASE Budget Balance (Portugal) was reported at -6.30 billion in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of -6.00 billion by 0.30 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of -6.70 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -4.46 billion, ranging from -7.50 billion to -0.60 billion across 10 releases. WHY IT MATTERS The trailing three releases averaged -6.13 billion, down from the prior three at -3.10 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.42 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.82 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Budget Balance has averaged -4.53 billion. THE MODEL'S TAKE Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.84 billion. WHAT TO WATCH NEXT The next release is scheduled for October 2, 2026. Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
Budget Balance - PT
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Economic Calendar - PT Events
| Monday, December 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -2.2 | 4.7 | 2 | 1.13 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -3.5 | 3.4 | -1.7 | -1.55 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 5.8 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 4.53 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.73 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | - | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.62 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | - | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | - | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.73 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | - | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.73 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | - | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.100000 | -0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.17 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.000000 | 2.500000 | 2.600000 | 2.73 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 5.800000 | 5.700000 | 3.500000 | 4.53 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -3.500000 | 3.400000 | -1.700000 | -1.55 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -2.200000 | 4.700000 | 2.000000 | 1.13 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.500000 | 1.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.25 | low |
| Thursday, December 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Current Account | 598 | 1162 | 1220 | 1098.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | 598.000000 | 1162.000000 | 1220.000000 | 1098.00 | low |
| Wednesday, December 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.3 | -0.7 | -0.4 | -0.35 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.40 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 1.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.300000 | 0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.300000 | -0.700000 | -0.400000 | -0.35 | low |
| Thursday, December 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.47 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 3 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.97 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 3.000000 | 2.800000 | 2.800000 | 2.97 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.300000 | 1.200000 | 1.400000 | 1.47 | low |
| Wednesday, December 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.63 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.200000 | 0.100000 | -0.200000 | -0.23 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.500000 | 2.300000 | 2.500000 | 2.63 | low |
| Tuesday, December 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2535 | -2403 | -2200 | -2371.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2535.000000 | -2403.000000 | -2200.000000 | -2371.83 | low |
| Tuesday, December 3, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -3.79 | -1.5 | -1.9 | -2.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -3.790000 | -1.500000 | -1.900000 | -2.38 | low |
| Monday, December 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.33 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 3.1 | 3 | -1.4 | -1.25 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 3.100000 | 3.000000 | -1.400000 | -1.25 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 4.400000 | 2.800000 | 1.200000 | 0.33 | low |
| Friday, November 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 6.42 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.95 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.18 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.85 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 6.4 | 5 | 4.8 | 5.83 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.63 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 6.400000 | 5.000000 | 4.800000 | 5.83 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.700000 | 0.85 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.18 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.900000 | 1.600000 | 1.900000 | 1.95 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.600000 | 6.600000 | 6.400000 | 6.42 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.500000 | 2.300000 | 2.500000 | 2.63 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.17 | low |
| Thursday, November 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -14 | -13.9 | -14 | -14.32 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.32 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 2.500000 | 2.100000 | 2.200000 | 2.32 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -14.000000 | -13.900000 | -14.000000 | -14.32 | low |
| Wednesday, November 20, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | PPI MoM | -0.8 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 0.1 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 0.100000 | 1.000000 | 1.100000 | 1.20 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | -0.800000 | -0.900000 | 0.300000 | 0.35 | low |
| Tuesday, November 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Current Account | 1162 | 1394 | 650 | 528.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | 1162.000000 | 1394.000000 | 650.000000 | 528.00 | low |
| Thursday, November 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.27 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.77 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.300000 | 1.200000 | 0.700000 | 0.77 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.700000 | 2.500000 | 2.100000 | 2.27 | low |
| Wednesday, November 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.43 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.07 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.100000 | 1.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.07 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.300000 | 2.100000 | 2.300000 | 2.43 | low |
| Friday, November 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2371 | -2630 | -2010 | -2181.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2371.000000 | -2630.000000 | -2010.000000 | -2181.83 | low |
| Tuesday, November 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -1.5 | -5.3 | -2.4 | -2.88 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -1.500000 | -5.300000 | -2.400000 | -2.88 | low |
| Thursday, October 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.43 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.57 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.100000 | 1.300000 | 0.600000 | 0.57 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.300000 | 2.100000 | 2.300000 | 2.43 | low |
| Wednesday, October 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 2.7 | -1.5 | -0.7 | -1.57 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 6.72 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 2.6 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.35 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -13.9 | -13.1 | -12 | -12.32 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.28 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 2.12 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.65 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 2.600000 | -0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.35 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.400000 | 6.400000 | 6.700000 | 6.72 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 2.700000 | -1.500000 | -0.700000 | -1.57 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.900000 | 1.600000 | 1.600000 | 1.65 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 2.100000 | 1.800000 | 2.000000 | 2.12 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.300000 | 0.28 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -13.900000 | -13.100000 | -12.000000 | -12.32 | low |
| Tuesday, October 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 5.2 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 3.93 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.9 | 1.1 | -0.5 | -0.35 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.900000 | 1.100000 | -0.500000 | -0.35 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 5.200000 | 5.400000 | 2.900000 | 3.93 | low |
| Friday, October 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Current Account | 1391 | 866.1 | 950 | 828.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | 1391.000000 | 866.100000 | 950.000000 | 828.00 | low |
| Thursday, October 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 0.9 | 1 | 1 | 1.07 | Low |
| 15:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 2.17 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | PPI MoM | -1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 0.9 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.80 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.400000 | 2.300000 | 2.000000 | 2.17 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 0.900000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.07 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 0.900000 | 2.000000 | 1.700000 | 1.80 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | -1.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.15 | low |
| Thursday, October 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.3 | -0.3 | 1.3 | 1.27 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2640 | -2087 | -2050 | -2221.83 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2640.000000 | -2087.000000 | -2050.000000 | -2221.83 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.300000 | -0.300000 | 1.300000 | 1.27 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.100000 | 1.900000 | 2.100000 | 2.23 | low |
| Wednesday, October 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -5.3 | -3.8 | -4.5 | -4.98 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -5.300000 | -3.800000 | -4.500000 | -4.98 | low |
| Tuesday, October 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 0.2 | -0.8 | 1.1 | 1.25 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -1.6 | -3.9 | -2.7 | -3.57 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -1.600000 | -3.900000 | -2.700000 | -3.57 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 0.200000 | -0.800000 | 1.100000 | 1.25 | low |
| Monday, September 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 5.3 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 5.43 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.3 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.27 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 2.13 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | -0.5 | 0.6 | 0.75 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 1.200000 | -0.500000 | 0.600000 | 0.75 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.100000 | 1.900000 | 2.000000 | 2.13 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.300000 | -0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.27 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 5.300000 | 2.200000 | 4.400000 | 5.43 | low |
| Friday, September 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -13.1 | -14.3 | -14 | -14.32 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.92 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.800000 | 1.700000 | 1.800000 | 1.92 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -13.100000 | -14.300000 | -14.000000 | -14.32 | low |
| Thursday, September 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:15 | PT | Current Account | 1213.2 | 1262.5 | 800 | 678.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | 1213.200000 | 1262.500000 | 800.000000 | 678.00 | low |
| Wednesday, September 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.90 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.000000 | 0.900000 | 0.600000 | 0.65 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 2.000000 | 1.900000 | 1.800000 | 1.90 | low |
| Thursday, September 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.07 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.17 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 1.700000 | 1.600000 | 1.900000 | 2.07 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 0.900000 | 1.100000 | 1.100000 | 1.17 | low |
| Wednesday, September 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.33 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.03 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.900000 | 2.500000 | 1.900000 | 2.03 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.300000 | -0.600000 | -0.300000 | -0.33 | low |
| Monday, September 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:20 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2085 | -1929 | -1800 | -1971.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2085.000000 | -1929.000000 | -1800.000000 | -1971.83 | low |
| Tuesday, September 3, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -3.8 | -7.7 | -8.2 | -8.68 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -3.800000 | -7.700000 | -8.200000 | -8.68 | low |
| Monday, September 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -1 | -3.6 | -1.1 | -0.95 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -4 | -2.7 | -2 | -2.87 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -4.000000 | -2.700000 | -2.000000 | -2.87 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -1.000000 | -3.600000 | -1.100000 | -0.95 | low |
| Friday, August 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.08 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.55 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.2 | -0.23 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.53 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.500000 | 1.500000 | 1.500000 | 1.55 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.800000 | 0.100000 | 0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.900000 | 2.500000 | 2.400000 | 2.53 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.300000 | -0.600000 | -0.200000 | -0.23 | low |
| Thursday, August 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 6.72 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | -0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.05 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 1.9 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 4.63 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -14.3 | -15.4 | -15 | -15.32 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.92 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.200000 | 6.400000 | 6.700000 | 6.72 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 1.900000 | 3.400000 | 3.600000 | 4.63 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | -0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.900000 | 1.05 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.700000 | 1.800000 | 1.800000 | 1.92 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -14.300000 | -15.400000 | -15.000000 | -15.32 | low |
| Tuesday, August 20, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.95 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.40 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Current Account | 1262.5 | -844.45 | -700 | -822.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | 1262.500000 | -844.450000 | -700.000000 | -822.00 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 1.900000 | 2.100000 | 2.300000 | 2.40 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.800000 | 0.900000 | 0.900000 | 0.95 | low |
| Friday, August 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 2.07 | Low |
| 10:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 3.17 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 1.800000 | 1.700000 | 3.000000 | 3.17 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.200000 | 1.300000 | 2.000000 | 2.07 | low |
| Monday, August 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.63 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.6 | 0 | -0.6 | -0.63 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.600000 | 0.000000 | -0.600000 | -0.63 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.500000 | 2.800000 | 2.500000 | 2.63 | low |
| Friday, August 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -1892 | -2213 | -2390 | -2561.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -1892.000000 | -2213.000000 | -2390.000000 | -2561.83 | low |
| Friday, August 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -7.7 | -6.8 | -7.8 | -8.28 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -7.700000 | -6.800000 | -7.800000 | -8.28 | low |
| Thursday, August 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -3 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.23 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -3.7 | -3.1 | 2.5 | 2.65 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -3.700000 | -3.100000 | 2.500000 | 2.65 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -3.000000 | 1.100000 | 2.100000 | 1.23 | low |
| Wednesday, July 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.52 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.6 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.07 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.03 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.700000 | 6.500000 | 6.500000 | 6.52 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.07 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.500000 | 2.800000 | 2.900000 | 3.03 | low |
| Tuesday, July 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.15 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 2.12 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -15.4 | -17.2 | -17.5 | -17.82 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.28 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.800000 | 0.300000 | 0.28 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -15.400000 | -17.200000 | -17.500000 | -17.82 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.800000 | 1.900000 | 2.000000 | 2.12 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.500000 | 1.500000 | 1.100000 | 1.15 | low |
| Monday, July 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.95 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 3.4 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 2.43 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 3.400000 | 3.100000 | 1.400000 | 2.43 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.700000 | 0.400000 | 0.800000 | 0.95 | low |
| Friday, July 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Current Account | -847 | 877.6 | -550 | -672.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | -847.000000 | 877.600000 | -550.000000 | -672.00 | low |
| Thursday, July 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 2.07 | Low |
| 10:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.97 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.600000 | 2.400000 | 2.800000 | 2.97 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.400000 | 1.600000 | 2.000000 | 2.07 | low |
| Wednesday, July 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 2 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 2.000000 | 0.600000 | 1.900000 | 2.00 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.800000 | 0.300000 | 0.200000 | 0.25 | low |
| Wednesday, July 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | -0.03 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 3.73 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2235 | -2352 | -2140 | -2311.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2235.000000 | -2352.000000 | -2140.000000 | -2311.83 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.800000 | 3.100000 | 3.600000 | 3.73 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.000000 | 0.200000 | 0.000000 | -0.03 | low |
| Tuesday, July 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -6.8 | -5.7 | -3.9 | -4.38 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 0.9 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 4.53 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -3.2 | -2.2 | 2.1 | 2.25 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -6.800000 | -5.700000 | -3.900000 | -4.38 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -3.200000 | -2.200000 | 2.100000 | 2.25 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 0.900000 | 5.600000 | 5.400000 | 4.53 | low |
| Monday, July 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.32 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.500000 | 6.400000 | 6.300000 | 6.32 | low |
| Friday, June 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.3 | 2 | -0.9 | -0.75 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3.63 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 3.73 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 2.800000 | 1.800000 | 2.600000 | 3.63 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.800000 | 3.100000 | 3.600000 | 3.73 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.300000 | 2.000000 | -0.900000 | -0.75 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.000000 | 0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.17 | low |
| Thursday, June 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -17.2 | -18.5 | -18.7 | -19.02 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.32 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.900000 | 1.900000 | 2.200000 | 2.32 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -17.200000 | -18.500000 | -18.700000 | -19.02 | low |
| Thursday, June 20, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.77 | Low |
| 10:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.17 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 0.7 | -0.9 | 3.8 | 3.90 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.600000 | 1.800000 | 2.100000 | 2.17 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.700000 | 2.400000 | 2.600000 | 2.77 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.300000 | -0.100000 | 0.300000 | 0.35 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 0.700000 | -0.900000 | 3.800000 | 3.90 | low |
| Wednesday, June 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | 877.600000 | 480.400000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, June 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 3.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.100000 | 2.200000 | 3.100000 | 3.23 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.200000 | 0.500000 | 0.200000 | 0.17 | low |
| Friday, June 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2357 | -1637 | -1670 | -1841.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2357.000000 | -1637.000000 | -1670.000000 | -1841.83 | low |
| Tuesday, June 4, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -5.7 | -3 | -3.5 | -3.98 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -5.700000 | -3.000000 | -3.500000 | -3.98 | low |
| Friday, May 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -2.5 | 2.8 | -0.6 | -0.45 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 5.2 | 4 | 7.8 | 6.93 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.68 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.45 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.27 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 3.73 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.500000 | 2.100000 | 1.400000 | 1.45 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.800000 | 0.700000 | 0.700000 | 0.68 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 5.200000 | 4.000000 | 7.800000 | 6.93 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -2.500000 | 2.800000 | -0.600000 | -0.45 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.100000 | 2.200000 | 3.600000 | 3.73 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.200000 | 0.500000 | 0.300000 | 0.27 | low |
| Wednesday, May 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:55 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.52 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.22 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.35 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 1.8 | 1.1 | -1.3 | -0.27 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -18.5 | -20.4 | -20.3 | -20.62 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.300000 | 6.400000 | 6.500000 | 6.52 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -18.500000 | -20.400000 | -20.300000 | -20.62 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 1.800000 | 1.100000 | -1.300000 | -0.27 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 1.600000 | 0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.35 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.900000 | 1.900000 | 2.100000 | 2.22 | low |
| Monday, May 20, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 0.8 | -1.5 | -0.6 | -0.50 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.000000 | -0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.25 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | 0.800000 | -1.500000 | -0.600000 | -0.50 | low |
| Friday, May 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Current Account | 480.4 | 204.2 | 130 | 8.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | 480.400000 | 204.200000 | 130.000000 | 8.00 | low |
| Thursday, May 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.57 | Low |
| 10:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.9 | 2 | 2.2 | 2.27 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 1.900000 | 2.000000 | 2.200000 | 2.27 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.500000 | 2.500000 | 2.400000 | 2.57 | low |
| Monday, May 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.33 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.47 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.500000 | 2.000000 | 0.500000 | 0.47 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.200000 | 2.300000 | 2.200000 | 2.33 | low |
| Friday, May 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -1621 | -2353 | -1830 | -2001.83 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | - | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.62 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -1621.000000 | -2353.000000 | -1830.000000 | -2001.83 | low |
| Friday, May 3, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -3 | -1.7 | -3 | -3.48 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -3.000000 | -1.700000 | -3.000000 | -3.48 | low |
| Thursday, May 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 3.500000 | 0.800000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 2.600000 | 0.300000 | - | - | low |
| Tuesday, April 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 0.4 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.23 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.35 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.53 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.75 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.67 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.000000 | -0.100000 | -0.500000 | -0.35 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 0.400000 | 1.000000 | 1.200000 | 2.23 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.500000 | 2.000000 | 0.700000 | 0.67 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.400000 | 2.100000 | 1.700000 | 1.75 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.700000 | 0.700000 | 0.300000 | 0.28 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.200000 | 2.300000 | 2.400000 | 2.53 | low |
| Monday, April 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -20.4 | -22.6 | -21.9 | -22.22 | Low |
| 08:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 2.12 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.800000 | 1.800000 | 2.000000 | 2.12 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -20.400000 | -22.600000 | -21.900000 | -22.22 | low |
| Thursday, April 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.37 | Low |
| 10:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.47 | Low |
| 10:15 | PT | Current Account | 141.4 | 883.4 | 30 | -92.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.600000 | 2.400000 | 2.300000 | 2.47 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.200000 | 2.300000 | 2.300000 | 2.37 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | 141.400000 | 883.400000 | 30.000000 | -92.00 | low |
| Wednesday, April 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | PPI YoY | -1.4 | -2.5 | -1.6 | -1.50 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | -1.400000 | -2.500000 | -1.600000 | -1.50 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.000000 | 0.400000 | 0.100000 | 0.15 | low |
| Wednesday, April 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.43 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.97 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | CPI | 120.978 | 118.651 | 121 | 120.98 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | CPI | 120.978000 | 118.651000 | 121.000000 | 120.98 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 2.000000 | 0.000000 | 2.000000 | 1.97 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.300000 | 2.100000 | 2.300000 | 2.43 | low |
| Tuesday, April 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2356 | -1683 | -1870 | -2041.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2356.000000 | -1683.000000 | -1870.000000 | -2041.83 | low |
| Tuesday, April 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | 1.4 | -0.7 | -0.55 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 1 | -1.3 | -1.7 | -2.57 | Low |
| 09:50 | PT | Budget Balance | -1.7 | -0.71 | -1.05 | -1.53 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 1.000000 | -1.300000 | -1.700000 | -2.57 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 0.400000 | 1.400000 | -0.700000 | -0.55 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -1.700000 | -0.710000 | -1.050000 | -1.53 | low |
| Monday, April 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.43 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.45 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | -0.400000 | -0.200000 | -0.600000 | -0.45 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 0.700000 | 0.200000 | 0.400000 | 1.43 | low |
| Thursday, March 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | 0.37 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.33 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 2.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.400000 | 0.37 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.300000 | 2.100000 | 2.200000 | 2.33 | low |
| Wednesday, March 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 2.12 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -22.6 | -24.4 | -33 | -33.32 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -22.600000 | -24.400000 | -33.000000 | -33.32 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.800000 | 1.700000 | 2.000000 | 2.12 | low |
| Friday, March 22, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | PPI YoY | -2.3 | -2.1 | -5.3 | -5.20 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.300000 | 0.35 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | -2.300000 | -2.100000 | -5.300000 | -5.20 | low |
| Thursday, March 21, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Current Account | 883.4 | -953.9 | 215 | 93.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | 883.400000 | -953.900000 | 215.000000 | 93.00 | low |
| Thursday, March 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.97 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.47 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.400000 | 2.500000 | 2.400000 | 2.47 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 2.200000 | 2.200000 | 1.800000 | 1.97 | low |
| Tuesday, March 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.07 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | CPI | 118.651 | 118.615 | 118.7 | 118.68 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | CPI | 118.651000 | 118.615000 | 118.700000 | 118.68 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.100000 | 2.300000 | 2.100000 | 2.23 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.07 | low |
| Monday, March 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -1662 | -2379 | -2000 | -2171.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -1662.000000 | -2379.000000 | -2000.000000 | -2171.83 | low |
| Monday, March 4, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -0.71 | -0.33 | -0.55 | -1.03 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -0.710000 | -0.330000 | -0.550000 | -1.03 | low |
| Friday, March 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.33 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 1.4 | -1.1 | 0.6 | 0.75 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0 | 0.5 | -1 | -0.85 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -1.3 | -4.8 | -6.1 | -6.97 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -1.300000 | -4.800000 | -6.100000 | -6.97 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.000000 | 0.500000 | -1.000000 | -0.85 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 1.400000 | -1.100000 | 0.600000 | 0.75 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 0.700000 | 0.700000 | 0.300000 | 1.33 | low |
| Thursday, February 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.25 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 2.13 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.8 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.78 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 | -0.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.100000 | 0.000000 | -0.100000 | -0.13 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.800000 | -0.200000 | 0.800000 | 0.78 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.100000 | 2.300000 | 2.000000 | 2.13 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.200000 | 1.900000 | 2.200000 | 2.25 | low |
| Wednesday, February 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.82 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -24.4 | -26.9 | -26 | -26.32 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -24.400000 | -26.900000 | -26.000000 | -26.32 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.700000 | 1.500000 | 1.700000 | 1.82 | low |
| Tuesday, February 20, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Current Account | -953.9 | 469.3 | 320 | 198.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | -953.900000 | 469.300000 | 320.000000 | 198.00 | low |
| Monday, February 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | PPI YoY | -4.3 | -4.5 | -4.6 | -4.50 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.3 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.05 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | 0.300000 | -0.300000 | -0.100000 | -0.05 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | -4.300000 | -4.500000 | -4.600000 | -4.50 | low |
| Thursday, February 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:40 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 1.9 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.97 | Low |
| 11:40 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.5 | 2.6 | 3 | 3.07 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.500000 | 2.600000 | 3.000000 | 3.07 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 1.900000 | 2.000000 | 1.800000 | 1.97 | low |
| Monday, February 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | -0.4 | 0 | -0.03 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2.43 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | CPI | 118.615 | 118.603 | 118.6 | 118.58 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | CPI | 118.615000 | 118.603000 | 118.600000 | 118.58 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.300000 | 1.400000 | 2.300000 | 2.43 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.000000 | -0.400000 | 0.000000 | -0.03 | low |
| Friday, February 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2325 | -1928 | -2780 | -2951.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2325.000000 | -1928.000000 | -2780.000000 | -2951.83 | low |
| Wednesday, February 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.6 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 6.62 | Medium |
| 00:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 6.600000 | 6.100000 | 6.600000 | 6.62 | medium |
| Monday, February 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -0.33 | -0.71 | -0.8 | -1.28 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -0.330000 | -0.710000 | -0.800000 | -1.28 | low |
| Thursday, February 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -0.8 | 3.7 | 3 | 3.15 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -5 | -1.1 | -1.8 | -2.67 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -5.000000 | -1.100000 | -1.800000 | -2.67 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -0.800000 | 3.700000 | 3.000000 | 3.15 | low |
| Wednesday, January 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -0.73 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.63 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.300000 | 1.400000 | 1.500000 | 1.63 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.000000 | -0.400000 | -0.700000 | -0.73 | low |
| Tuesday, January 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | -0.6 | -0.45 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 3.83 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.55 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.62 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -26.9 | -28.2 | -27.5 | -27.82 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.8 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.08 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 1.000000 | 1.100000 | 2.800000 | 3.83 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 0.700000 | 0.500000 | -0.600000 | -0.45 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.800000 | -0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -26.900000 | -28.200000 | -27.500000 | -27.82 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.500000 | 1.200000 | 1.500000 | 1.62 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.200000 | 1.900000 | 1.500000 | 1.55 | low |
| Thursday, January 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Current Account | 518.3 | 207.7 | 150 | 28.00 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.67 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.87 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | PPI YoY | -4.4 | -6.1 | -5.5 | -5.40 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | PPI MoM | -0.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 1.700000 | 1.600000 | 1.700000 | 1.87 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.900000 | 2.600000 | 2.600000 | 2.67 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Current Account | 518.300000 | 207.700000 | 150.000000 | 28.00 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI MoM | -0.200000 | -1.200000 | -1.200000 | -1.15 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | PPI YoY | -4.400000 | -6.100000 | -5.500000 | -5.40 | low |
| Thursday, January 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | CPI | 118.603 | 119.096 | 118.6 | 118.58 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.53 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.53 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.400000 | -0.300000 | -0.500000 | -0.53 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.400000 | 1.500000 | 1.400000 | 1.53 | low |
| 00:00 | PT | CPI | 118.603000 | 119.096000 | 118.600000 | 118.58 | low |
| Tuesday, January 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -1928 | -2900 | -2700 | -2871.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -1928.000000 | -2900.000000 | -2700.000000 | -2871.83 | low |
| Wednesday, January 3, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -0.710000 | -0.120000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | 3.500000 | 3.400000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | -1.100000 | -1.100000 | - | - | low |
| Tuesday, January 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -28.200000 | -28.200000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 1.200000 | 1.000000 | - | - | low |
| Sunday, January 1, 2023 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 |  PRT | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Population, total | 10525347.00 | 10525347.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Labor force, total | 5453645.00 | 5453645.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 6.51 | 6.51 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 4.31 | 4.31 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 47.35 | 47.35 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 125.99 | 125.99 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 4.57 | 4.57 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.26 | 2.26 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 46.42 | 46.42 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | GDP (current US$) | 287080013574.50 | 287080013574.50 | - | - | Medium |
| Saturday, January 1, 2022 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | PRT | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.22 | -1.22 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.22 | -1.22 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | New businesses registered (number) | 46119.00 | 46119.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Population, total | 10409704.00 | 10409704.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Labor force, total | 5319495.00 | 5319495.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 6.01 | 6.01 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 7.83 | 7.83 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 49.48 | 49.48 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 120.78 | 120.78 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 4.34 | 4.34 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 103.03 | 103.03 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | GDP growth (annual %) | 6.83 | 6.83 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 51.88 | 51.88 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | GDP (current US$) | 255196659934.38 | 255196659934.38 | - | - | Medium |
| Friday, January 1, 2021 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | PRT | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.17 | -1.17 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | New businesses registered (number) | 39896.00 | 39896.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Population, total | 10361831.00 | 10361831.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Labor force, total | 5202738.00 | 5202738.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 6.58 | 6.58 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 41.55 | 41.55 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | PRT | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 112.01 | 112.01 | - | - | Medium |
