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Market Overview The USD/TRY pair closed at 49.0157 on September 30, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.04% from the previous close of 48.9945. Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a modest uptrend with a positive return of 1.54%, ranging between a low of 48.2330 and a high of 49.0344. Technical levels show the 20-day moving average at 48.7833, the 50-day at 48.4024, and the 200-day at 46.5050, with the price trading above the short-term average. The 14-day RSI stands at 87.2, in overbought territory. Key support is at 48.2330, while resistance is near 49.0344. The Sigmanomics forecast model currently projects a bullish bias for the near term. The USD/TRY forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Turkish Lira. Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.07%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Across the past 52 weeks, the pair has traded between 43.1758 and 49.0344, with the current price near the high end of that range. Among macroeconomic indicators in our coverage, Trade Balance shows the strongest historical relationship with this instrument, negatively correlated (r = -0.81). Updated 9/30/26

Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.