European Union Economic Sentiment

THE RELEASE Economic Sentiment (European Union) was reported at 97.90 in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 99.00 by 1.10. The reading fell from the previous value of 98.40. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 72.25, ranging from 22.70 to 99.40 across 16 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis. WHY IT MATTERS The trailing three releases averaged 73.70, down from the prior three at 95.03. Volatility over the past year (σ 32.10) is lower than the prior year (σ 37.27). In September readings over the past 3 years, Economic Sentiment has averaged 60.90. THE MODEL'S TAKE Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/CHF, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.72. WHAT TO WATCH NEXT The next release is scheduled for October 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include ECB General Council Meeting (Oct 1) and Unemployment Rate (Oct 1). Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.