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THE RELEASE GDP Growth Rate YoY (Bulgaria) was reported at 2.80% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.70% by 0.10%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.94%, ranging from 2.70% to 3.20% across 9 releases. WHY IT MATTERS The trailing three releases averaged 2.73%, down from the prior three at 3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.18%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.41%). In September readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 2.75%. THE MODEL'S TAKE Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.18%. Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
| Monday, December 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 17.7 | 15.8 | 16 | 17.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 17.700000 | 15.800000 | 16.000000 | 17.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | 1.100000 | -1.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 2.900000 | -1.400000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, December 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 2.500000 | 6.000000 | - | - | low |
| Wednesday, December 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:05 | BG | Current Account | -308.9 | -107.3 | -200 | -445.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | -308.900000 | -107.300000 | -200.000000 | -445.85 | low |
| Monday, December 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.15 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.88 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.600000 | 1.100000 | 0.700000 | 0.88 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.100000 | 1.800000 | 2.100000 | 2.15 | low |
| Thursday, December 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1840.2 | -1231.4 | -1210 | -1511.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1840.200000 | -1231.400000 | -1210.000000 | -1511.82 | low |
| Tuesday, December 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.80 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -0.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.02 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 6.3 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 5.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 6.300000 | 5.300000 | 4.500000 | 5.23 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -0.700000 | 1.300000 | 0.200000 | 0.02 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -1.600000 | 1.200000 | 1.200000 | 0.80 | low |
| Friday, December 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.13 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.600000 | 0.600000 | 0.500000 | 0.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.400000 | 2.100000 | 2.200000 | 2.13 | low |
| Thursday, December 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 5.1 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 3.10 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 2.9 | -3 | 1.2 | 1.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 2.900000 | -3.000000 | 1.200000 | 1.23 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 5.100000 | 4.800000 | 1.900000 | 3.10 | low |
| Monday, December 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.04 | 3.22 | 3 | 2.98 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.040000 | 3.220000 | 3.000000 | 2.98 | low |
| Friday, November 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -1.3 | -0.8 | -0.9 | NaN | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.4 | -0.8 | -0.1 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.400000 | -0.800000 | -0.100000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -1.300000 | -0.800000 | -0.900000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, November 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 15.8 | 13.3 | 12 | 13.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 15.800000 | 13.300000 | 12.000000 | 13.20 | low |
| Wednesday, November 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6 | 4.6 | 2 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.000000 | 4.600000 | 2.000000 | NaN | low |
| Monday, November 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:10 | BG | Current Account | -107.3 | 815.7 | 1150 | 904.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | -107.300000 | 815.700000 | 1150.000000 | 904.15 | low |
| Friday, November 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.02 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.55 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.100000 | -1.000000 | -0.200000 | -0.02 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.800000 | 1.200000 | 1.500000 | 1.55 | low |
| Thursday, November 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.62 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 2.93 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.200000 | 2.100000 | 3.000000 | 2.93 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.500000 | 0.600000 | 0.600000 | 0.62 | low |
| Monday, November 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1300.5 | -792.4 | -750 | -1051.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1300.500000 | -792.400000 | -750.000000 | -1051.82 | low |
| Friday, November 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 5.1 | 5 | 4.3 | 5.03 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | 1 | -2.6 | -2.2 | -2.60 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.32 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 1.200000 | 0.800000 | 0.500000 | 0.32 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | 1.000000 | -2.600000 | -2.200000 | -2.60 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 5.100000 | 5.000000 | 4.300000 | 5.03 | low |
| Thursday, November 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -3 | -0.6 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.8 | 4.9 | 4 | 5.20 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -12.2 | -8.4 | -8 | -9.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -12.200000 | -8.400000 | -8.000000 | -9.13 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.800000 | 4.900000 | 4.000000 | 5.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -3.000000 | -0.600000 | 0.200000 | 0.23 | low |
| Friday, November 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.22 | 3.43 | 3.4 | 3.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.220000 | 3.430000 | 3.400000 | 3.38 | low |
| Wednesday, October 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | NaN | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 13.3 | 18.3 | 18.6 | 19.80 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -0.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -0.800000 | 1.500000 | 1.900000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 13.300000 | 18.300000 | 18.600000 | 19.80 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.800000 | 0.400000 | 0.300000 | NaN | low |
| Monday, October 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 4.6 | 2.8 | -0.5 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 4.600000 | 2.800000 | -0.500000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, October 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Current Account | 1070.2 | 836.6 | 350 | 104.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 1070.200000 | 836.600000 | 350.000000 | 104.15 | low |
| Tuesday, October 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.38 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.200000 | 2.100000 | 2.100000 | 2.15 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -1.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.38 | low |
| Friday, October 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -792.4 | -787.8 | -900 | -1201.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -792.400000 | -787.800000 | -900.000000 | -1201.82 | low |
| Thursday, October 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 5.5 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 3.03 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -2.6 | -2.7 | -1.1 | -1.50 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.08 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0.800000 | 0.600000 | 0.100000 | -0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -2.600000 | -2.700000 | -1.100000 | -1.50 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 5.500000 | 2.900000 | 2.300000 | 3.03 | low |
| Monday, October 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 6.8 | 7 | 8.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.43 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.600000 | 0.700000 | 0.400000 | 0.43 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.900000 | 6.800000 | 7.000000 | 8.20 | low |
| Tuesday, October 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:15 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.43 | 3.54 | 3.4 | 3.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.430000 | 3.540000 | 3.400000 | 3.38 | low |
| Monday, September 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.8 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 0.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 18.3 | 23.5 | 23 | 24.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 18.300000 | 23.500000 | 23.000000 | 24.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 0.400000 | 2.200000 | 0.800000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | 1.500000 | 1.400000 | 2.800000 | NaN | low |
| Friday, September 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 2.8 | 3.4 | 2.9 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 2.800000 | 3.400000 | 2.900000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, September 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:10 | BG | Current Account | 836.6 | 222.8 | 400 | 154.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 836.600000 | 222.800000 | 400.000000 | 154.15 | low |
| Monday, September 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.58 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.100000 | 0.800000 | 0.400000 | 0.58 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.100000 | 2.400000 | 2.500000 | 2.55 | low |
| Wednesday, September 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -787.8 | -631 | -610 | -911.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -787.800000 | -631.000000 | -610.000000 | -911.82 | low |
| Tuesday, September 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -2.5 | -4.9 | -3.8 | -4.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 3.23 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0.6 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.02 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.200000 | 0.02 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.500000 | 2.900000 | 2.500000 | 3.23 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -2.500000 | -4.900000 | -3.800000 | -4.20 | low |
| Thursday, September 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 6.8 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 6.60 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.13 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 1.93 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.100000 | 1.900000 | 2.000000 | 1.93 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.500000 | 0.500000 | 0.500000 | 0.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.200000 | 1.500000 | 2.100000 | 2.13 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 6.800000 | 4.400000 | 5.400000 | 6.60 | low |
| Monday, September 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.54 | 3.53 | 3.4 | 3.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.540000 | 3.530000 | 3.400000 | 3.38 | low |
| Friday, August 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | 1.4 | -0.2 | 0.8 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 2.2 | -0.3 | 0.1 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 2.200000 | -0.300000 | 0.100000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | 1.400000 | -0.200000 | 0.800000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, August 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23.5 | 23 | 23 | 24.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23.500000 | 23.000000 | 23.000000 | 24.20 | low |
| Wednesday, August 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 3.4 | 5.8 | 8 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 3.400000 | 5.800000 | 8.000000 | NaN | low |
| Friday, August 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:10 | BG | Current Account | 222.8 | 185.3 | 50 | -195.85 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 222.800000 | 185.300000 | 50.000000 | -195.85 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.800000 | -0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.28 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.400000 | 2.500000 | 2.700000 | 2.75 | low |
| Wednesday, August 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2 | 1.8 | 2 | 1.93 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.000000 | 1.800000 | 2.000000 | 1.93 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.52 | low |
| Monday, August 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -640.4 | -1249 | -1770 | -2071.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -640.400000 | -1249.000000 | -1770.000000 | -2071.82 | low |
| Friday, August 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -5.2 | -4.9 | -2.5 | -2.90 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -0.2 | -2.4 | -1.1 | -1.28 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.9 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.93 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.900000 | 4.500000 | 2.200000 | 2.93 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -0.200000 | -2.400000 | -1.100000 | -1.28 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -5.200000 | -4.900000 | -2.500000 | -2.90 | low |
| Wednesday, August 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -8.4 | -14 | -10 | -11.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -8.400000 | -14.000000 | -10.000000 | -11.13 | low |
| Tuesday, August 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.4 | -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.17 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.30 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.300000 | 1.600000 | 1.100000 | 2.30 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.400000 | -0.800000 | -0.200000 | -0.17 | low |
| Thursday, August 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.53 | 3.63 | 3.6 | 3.58 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.530000 | 3.630000 | 3.600000 | 3.58 | low |
| Tuesday, July 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23 | 24.5 | 24 | 25.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -0.3 | -1.2 | 1.4 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.4 | 2.7 | 0.4 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.400000 | 2.700000 | 0.400000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -0.300000 | -1.200000 | 1.400000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23.000000 | 24.500000 | 24.000000 | 25.20 | low |
| Monday, July 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 5.8 | 6.6 | 7 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 5.800000 | 6.600000 | 7.000000 | NaN | low |
| Wednesday, July 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Current Account | 185.3 | -59.9 | 90 | -155.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 185.300000 | -59.900000 | 90.000000 | -155.85 | low |
| Monday, July 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.2 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.18 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.500000 | 2.300000 | 2.500000 | 2.55 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.200000 | -0.200000 | 0.000000 | 0.18 | low |
| Wednesday, July 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1249 | -1271 | -1310 | -1611.82 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -6.3 | -0.4 | 0.2 | -0.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 4.5 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.63 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -3.3 | 2.8 | 0.1 | -0.08 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -3.300000 | 2.800000 | 0.100000 | -0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 4.500000 | 3.000000 | 2.900000 | 3.63 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -6.300000 | -0.400000 | 0.200000 | -0.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1249.000000 | -1271.000000 | -1310.000000 | -1611.82 | low |
| Friday, July 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 1.6 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 5.70 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.8 | 1.3 | -0.8 | -0.77 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.800000 | 1.300000 | -0.800000 | -0.77 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 1.600000 | 9.900000 | 4.500000 | 5.70 | low |
| Monday, July 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.63 | 3.78 | 3.78 | 3.76 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.630000 | 3.780000 | 3.780000 | 3.76 | low |
| Friday, June 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 2.7 | -0.1 | 0.2 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24.5 | 25.4 | 25 | 26.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -1.2 | -6.6 | -4 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -1.200000 | -6.600000 | -4.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24.500000 | 25.400000 | 25.000000 | 26.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 2.700000 | -0.100000 | 0.200000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, June 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.6 | 1.1 | 1 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.600000 | 1.100000 | 1.000000 | NaN | low |
| Monday, June 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | BG | Current Account | -56.9 | 23.4 | -15 | -260.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | -56.900000 | 23.400000 | -15.000000 | -260.85 | low |
| Friday, June 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.08 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.100000 | 0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.300000 | 2.400000 | 2.500000 | 2.55 | low |
| Tuesday, June 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1286.6 | -841.6 | -1050 | -1351.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1286.600000 | -841.600000 | -1050.000000 | -1351.82 | low |
| Monday, June 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -0.3 | -7.8 | -2 | -2.40 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.8 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 5.23 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 3.3 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.48 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 3.300000 | -0.400000 | -0.300000 | -0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.800000 | 3.400000 | 4.500000 | 5.23 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -0.300000 | -7.800000 | -2.000000 | -2.40 | low |
| Friday, June 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.63 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.42 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.42 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.800000 | 1.700000 | 1.700000 | 1.63 | low |
| Thursday, June 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 9.9 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 3.10 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.9 | -0.6 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.900000 | -0.600000 | 0.100000 | 0.13 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 9.900000 | 0.300000 | 1.900000 | 3.10 | low |
| Monday, June 3, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.78 | 3.78 | 3.7 | 3.68 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.780000 | 3.780000 | 3.700000 | 3.68 | low |
| Thursday, May 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 25.4 | 24.8 | 25 | 26.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -6.6 | -8.7 | -6 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.1 | -1.6 | -0.9 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.100000 | -1.600000 | -0.900000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -6.600000 | -8.700000 | -6.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 25.400000 | 24.800000 | 25.000000 | 26.20 | low |
| Wednesday, May 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 1.1 | 7.2 | 9 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 1.100000 | 7.200000 | 9.000000 | NaN | low |
| Friday, May 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | BG | Current Account | 338.7 | 226.9 | -130 | -375.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 338.700000 | 226.900000 | -130.000000 | -375.85 | low |
| Wednesday, May 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.03 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.500000 | 0.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.400000 | 3.000000 | 2.900000 | 2.95 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.300000 | 0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.28 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.700000 | 1.600000 | 2.100000 | 2.03 | low |
| Monday, May 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1279.5 | -1319 | -1180 | -1481.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1279.500000 | -1319.000000 | -1180.000000 | -1481.82 | low |
| Friday, May 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -14 | -15.5 | -28 | -29.13 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -1 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.48 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 3.7 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 1.63 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -7.6 | -7.9 | -4.3 | -4.70 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -7.600000 | -7.900000 | -4.300000 | -4.70 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 3.700000 | 4.300000 | 0.900000 | 1.63 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -1.000000 | 0.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -14.000000 | -15.500000 | -28.000000 | -29.13 | low |
| Thursday, May 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -0.27 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 0.3 | 3.2 | 3 | 4.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 0.300000 | 3.200000 | 3.000000 | 4.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.600000 | 0.300000 | -0.300000 | -0.27 | low |
| Tuesday, April 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.6 | -0.6 | 0.2 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -8.7 | -9.3 | -5.7 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -8.700000 | -9.300000 | -5.700000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.600000 | -0.600000 | 0.200000 | NaN | low |
| Monday, April 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24.8 | 23 | 25 | 26.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 7.2 | 15.6 | 3 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 7.200000 | 15.600000 | 3.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24.800000 | 23.000000 | 25.000000 | 26.20 | low |
| Wednesday, April 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Current Account | 275.8 | -3.6 | 150 | -95.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 275.800000 | -3.600000 | 150.000000 | -95.85 | low |
| Monday, April 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.55 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.48 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.000000 | 3.300000 | 3.500000 | 3.55 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.200000 | 0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.48 | low |
| Thursday, April 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1061.9 | -1226.3 | -1350 | -1651.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1061.900000 | -1226.300000 | -1350.000000 | -1651.82 | low |
| Wednesday, April 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0 | -2.5 | 0.8 | 0.62 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -8.3 | -7.5 | -6.5 | -6.90 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 3.3 | 0 | 1.4 | 2.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 3.300000 | 0.000000 | 1.400000 | 2.13 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -8.300000 | -7.500000 | -6.500000 | -6.90 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0.000000 | -2.500000 | 0.800000 | 0.62 | low |
| Friday, April 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 3.2 | -0.1 | -1 | 0.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 2.8 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -0.27 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 2.800000 | 0.300000 | -0.300000 | -0.27 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 3.200000 | -0.100000 | -1.000000 | 0.20 | low |
| Monday, April 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.79 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.78 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.790000 | 3.800000 | 3.800000 | 3.78 | low |
| Thursday, March 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 15.6 | 4.1 | 6.8 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 15.600000 | 4.100000 | 6.800000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, March 21, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Current Account | -3.6 | 28.1 | -110 | -355.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | -3.600000 | 28.100000 | -110.000000 | -355.85 | low |
| Thursday, March 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.48 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 3.35 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.300000 | 3.800000 | 3.300000 | 3.35 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.300000 | 0.500000 | 0.300000 | 0.48 | low |
| Wednesday, March 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1227.5 | -1485.9 | -1440 | -1741.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1227.500000 | -1485.900000 | -1440.000000 | -1741.82 | low |
| Friday, March 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 | 0.03 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.53 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -2.5 | 4 | -0.9 | -1.08 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -7.5 | -5.3 | -4.5 | -4.90 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -7.500000 | -5.300000 | -4.500000 | -4.90 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -2.500000 | 4.000000 | -0.900000 | -1.08 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.600000 | 1.800000 | 1.600000 | 1.53 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 0.700000 | 0.000000 | -0.700000 | 0.03 | low |
| Thursday, March 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 0.3 | -0.7 | 1 | 1.03 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.50 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | -0.100000 | 0.700000 | 1.300000 | 2.50 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 0.300000 | -0.700000 | 1.000000 | 1.03 | low |
| Friday, March 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.8 | 3.79 | 3.8 | 3.78 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.800000 | 3.790000 | 3.800000 | 3.78 | low |
| Thursday, February 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -14.2 | -14.6 | -13.1 | NaN | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.8 | -0.6 | -0.5 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.800000 | -0.600000 | -0.500000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -14.200000 | -14.600000 | -13.100000 | NaN | low |
| Wednesday, February 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24 | 23.3 | 24 | 25.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24.000000 | 23.300000 | 24.000000 | 25.20 | low |
| Tuesday, February 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 4.1 | 3.1 | 2.9 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 4.100000 | 3.100000 | 2.900000 | NaN | low |
| Friday, February 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Current Account | 141.3 | -507.3 | -225 | -470.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 141.300000 | -507.300000 | -225.000000 | -470.85 | low |
| Thursday, February 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 4.35 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -0.2 | -0.02 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.500000 | 0.300000 | -0.200000 | -0.02 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.800000 | 4.700000 | 4.300000 | 4.35 | low |
| Wednesday, February 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.12 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.600000 | 1.800000 | 1.300000 | 1.23 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.100000 | 0.12 | low |
| Friday, February 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | -3.6 | -3.2 | -1.6 | -0.87 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -6.9 | -10.9 | -7.2 | -7.60 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 3.3 | -3.2 | 1.7 | 1.52 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1320.8 | -1585.9 | -1000 | -1301.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1320.800000 | -1585.900000 | -1000.000000 | -1301.82 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 3.300000 | -3.200000 | 1.700000 | 1.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -6.900000 | -10.900000 | -7.200000 | -7.60 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | -3.600000 | -3.200000 | -1.600000 | -0.87 | low |
| Wednesday, February 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -15.5 | -22.2 | -24 | -25.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -15.500000 | -22.200000 | -24.000000 | -25.13 | low |
| Tuesday, February 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.27 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 0.7 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 5.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 0.700000 | 3.200000 | 3.800000 | 5.00 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.600000 | -0.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.27 | low |
| Thursday, February 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.79 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.78 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.790000 | 3.800000 | 3.800000 | 3.78 | low |
| Tuesday, January 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -14.6 | -11.2 | -13.8 | NaN | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | NaN | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23.3 | 20.7 | 22 | 23.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23.300000 | 20.700000 | 22.000000 | 23.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.600000 | 0.500000 | 0.400000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -14.600000 | -11.200000 | -13.800000 | NaN | low |
| Monday, January 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 3.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 3.100000 | 3.400000 | 2.100000 | NaN | low |
| Wednesday, January 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Current Account | -297.6 | 37.5 | 105 | -140.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | -297.600000 | 37.500000 | 105.000000 | -140.85 | low |
| Monday, January 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.7 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 5.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.700000 | 5.400000 | 5.100000 | 5.15 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.28 | low |
| Friday, January 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1597.6 | -1119.2 | -1130 | -1431.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1597.600000 | -1119.200000 | -1130.000000 | -1431.82 | low |
| Wednesday, January 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -10.9 | -5.4 | -4.8 | -5.20 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | -3 | -1.2 | -0.7 | 0.03 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -3.2 | 2.6 | -0.7 | -0.88 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -3.200000 | 2.600000 | -0.700000 | -0.88 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | -3.000000 | -1.200000 | -0.700000 | 0.03 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -10.900000 | -5.400000 | -4.800000 | -5.20 | low |
| Monday, January 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 1.3 | -0.6 | -0.57 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 3.70 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 3.200000 | 3.100000 | 2.500000 | 3.70 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 0.500000 | 1.300000 | -0.600000 | -0.57 | low |
| Sunday, January 1, 2023 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3090044.00 | 3090044.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 61.89 | 61.89 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 101584384672.79 | 101584384672.79 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 1.87 | 1.87 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.44 | 4.44 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.24 | -0.24 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.24 | -0.24 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.32 | 4.32 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 151.67 | 151.67 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 6430370.00 | 6430370.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 57.78 | 57.78 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 9.44 | 9.44 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | -2.86 | -2.86 | - | - | Medium |
| Saturday, January 1, 2022 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 39989.00 | 39989.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3213429.00 | 3213429.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 69.98 | 69.98 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.78 | 1.78 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.65 | -0.65 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 90346169914.94 | 90346169914.94 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 1.59 | 1.59 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.75 | 3.75 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.65 | -0.65 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 102.45 | 102.45 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.27 | 4.27 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 3.93 | 3.93 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 138.58 | 138.58 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 30.20 | 30.20 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 6465097.00 | 6465097.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 68.86 | 68.86 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 15.33 | 15.33 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | -10.70 | -10.70 | - | - | Medium |
| Friday, January 1, 2021 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.80 | -1.80 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.80 | -1.80 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 84041493015.66 | 84041493015.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.10 | 2.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.12 | 4.12 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 85.46 | 85.46 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 5.27 | 5.27 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 7.66 | 7.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 120.17 | 120.17 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 32.75 | 32.75 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 6877743.00 | 6877743.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 59.34 | 59.34 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | -2.82 | -2.82 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.30 | 3.30 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 61.82 | 61.82 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 39544.00 | 39544.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3250184.00 | 3250184.00 | - | - | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 1, 2020 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.04 | -0.04 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 70368758395.14 | 70368758395.14 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.16 | 2.16 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.34 | 4.34 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 90.09 | 90.09 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 7.77 | 7.77 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 5.12 | 5.12 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | -3.97 | -3.97 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 116.33 | 116.33 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 32.10 | 32.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 6934015.00 | 6934015.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Armed forces personnel, total | 37000.00 | 37000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 53.90 | 53.90 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | 0.07 | 0.07 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 1.67 | 1.67 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.61 | 0.61 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 56.42 | 56.42 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 35099.00 | 35099.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3295956.00 | 3295956.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.04 | -0.04 | - | - | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 1, 2019 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to start a business (days) | 23.00 | 23.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 68881010245.55 | 68881010245.55 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.05 | 2.05 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.55 | 4.55 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 95.50 | 95.50 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 7.66 | 7.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.23 | 4.23 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 114.42 | 114.42 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 4.04 | 4.04 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 27.03 | 27.03 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 6975761.00 | 6975761.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Armed forces personnel, total | 37000.00 | 37000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 97.00 | 97.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 60.85 | 60.85 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | -0.66 | -0.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.10 | 3.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 64.18 | 64.18 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 43093.00 | 43093.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3379047.00 | 3379047.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 1.83 | 1.83 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 1.83 | 1.83 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | Medium |
| Monday, January 1, 2018 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to start a business (days) | 23.00 | 23.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 66370132238.39 | 66370132238.39 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.25 | 2.25 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.96 | 4.96 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 4.17 | 4.17 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 98.21 | 98.21 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 7.47 | 7.47 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 5.21 | 5.21 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 110.97 | 110.97 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.69 | 2.69 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 28.73 | 28.73 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 7025037.00 | 7025037.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Armed forces personnel, total | 36950.00 | 36950.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 97.00 | 97.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 63.10 | 63.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | 0.70 | 0.70 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 2.81 | 2.81 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 0.84 | 0.84 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.67 | 0.67 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 65.77 | 65.77 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 46131.00 | 46131.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3330474.00 | 3330474.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 0.84 | 0.84 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | Medium |
| Sunday, January 1, 2017 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 92.82 | 92.82 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 6.16 | 6.16 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 7.34 | 7.34 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 107.94 | 107.94 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.75 | 2.75 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 32.24 | 32.24 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 7075947.00 | 7075947.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Armed forces personnel, total | 31000.00 | 31000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 97.00 | 97.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 62.64 | 62.64 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | 0.60 | 0.60 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 2.06 | 2.06 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 3.35 | 3.35 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 3.35 | 3.35 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.68 | 0.68 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 66.99 | 66.99 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 46746.00 | 46746.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3361516.00 | 3361516.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to start a business (days) | 23.00 | 23.00 | - | - | Medium |