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THE RELEASE Balance of Trade (Bulgaria) was reported at -1026.90 million in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of -970.00 million by 56.90 million. The reading fell from the previous value of -1007.10 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -1603.21 million, ranging from -2909.10 million to -957.90 million across 11 releases. WHY IT MATTERS The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -998.50 million, up from the prior three at -1254.80 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 680.49 million) is higher than the prior year (σ 402.42 million). In September readings over the past 3 years, Balance of Trade has averaged -1135.17 million. THE MODEL'S TAKE Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 230.05 million. WHAT TO WATCH NEXT The next release is scheduled for October 9, 2026. Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
| Monday, December 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 17.7 | 15.8 | 16 | 17.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 17.700000 | 15.800000 | 16.000000 | 17.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | 1.100000 | -1.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 2.900000 | -1.400000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, December 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 2.500000 | 6.000000 | - | - | low |
| Wednesday, December 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:05 | BG | Current Account | -308.9 | -107.3 | -200 | -445.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | -308.900000 | -107.300000 | -200.000000 | -445.85 | low |
| Monday, December 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.15 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.88 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.600000 | 1.100000 | 0.700000 | 0.88 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.100000 | 1.800000 | 2.100000 | 2.15 | low |
| Thursday, December 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1840.2 | -1231.4 | -1210 | -1511.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1840.200000 | -1231.400000 | -1210.000000 | -1511.82 | low |
| Tuesday, December 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.80 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -0.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.02 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 6.3 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 5.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 6.300000 | 5.300000 | 4.500000 | 5.23 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -0.700000 | 1.300000 | 0.200000 | 0.02 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -1.600000 | 1.200000 | 1.200000 | 0.80 | low |
| Friday, December 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.13 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.600000 | 0.600000 | 0.500000 | 0.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.400000 | 2.100000 | 2.200000 | 2.13 | low |
| Thursday, December 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 5.1 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 3.10 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 2.9 | -3 | 1.2 | 1.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 2.900000 | -3.000000 | 1.200000 | 1.23 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 5.100000 | 4.800000 | 1.900000 | 3.10 | low |
| Monday, December 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.04 | 3.22 | 3 | 2.98 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.040000 | 3.220000 | 3.000000 | 2.98 | low |
| Friday, November 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -1.3 | -0.8 | -0.9 | NaN | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.4 | -0.8 | -0.1 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.400000 | -0.800000 | -0.100000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -1.300000 | -0.800000 | -0.900000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, November 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 15.8 | 13.3 | 12 | 13.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 15.800000 | 13.300000 | 12.000000 | 13.20 | low |
| Wednesday, November 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6 | 4.6 | 2 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.000000 | 4.600000 | 2.000000 | NaN | low |
| Monday, November 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:10 | BG | Current Account | -107.3 | 815.7 | 1150 | 904.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | -107.300000 | 815.700000 | 1150.000000 | 904.15 | low |
| Friday, November 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.02 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.55 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.100000 | -1.000000 | -0.200000 | -0.02 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.800000 | 1.200000 | 1.500000 | 1.55 | low |
| Thursday, November 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.62 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 2.93 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.200000 | 2.100000 | 3.000000 | 2.93 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.500000 | 0.600000 | 0.600000 | 0.62 | low |
| Monday, November 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1300.5 | -792.4 | -750 | -1051.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1300.500000 | -792.400000 | -750.000000 | -1051.82 | low |
| Friday, November 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 5.1 | 5 | 4.3 | 5.03 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | 1 | -2.6 | -2.2 | -2.60 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.32 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 1.200000 | 0.800000 | 0.500000 | 0.32 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | 1.000000 | -2.600000 | -2.200000 | -2.60 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 5.100000 | 5.000000 | 4.300000 | 5.03 | low |
| Thursday, November 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -3 | -0.6 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.8 | 4.9 | 4 | 5.20 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -12.2 | -8.4 | -8 | -9.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -12.200000 | -8.400000 | -8.000000 | -9.13 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.800000 | 4.900000 | 4.000000 | 5.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -3.000000 | -0.600000 | 0.200000 | 0.23 | low |
| Friday, November 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.22 | 3.43 | 3.4 | 3.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.220000 | 3.430000 | 3.400000 | 3.38 | low |
| Wednesday, October 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | NaN | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 13.3 | 18.3 | 18.6 | 19.80 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -0.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -0.800000 | 1.500000 | 1.900000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 13.300000 | 18.300000 | 18.600000 | 19.80 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.800000 | 0.400000 | 0.300000 | NaN | low |
| Monday, October 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 4.6 | 2.8 | -0.5 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 4.600000 | 2.800000 | -0.500000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, October 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Current Account | 1070.2 | 836.6 | 350 | 104.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 1070.200000 | 836.600000 | 350.000000 | 104.15 | low |
| Tuesday, October 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.38 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.200000 | 2.100000 | 2.100000 | 2.15 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -1.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.38 | low |
| Friday, October 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -792.4 | -787.8 | -900 | -1201.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -792.400000 | -787.800000 | -900.000000 | -1201.82 | low |
| Thursday, October 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 5.5 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 3.03 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -2.6 | -2.7 | -1.1 | -1.50 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.08 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0.800000 | 0.600000 | 0.100000 | -0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -2.600000 | -2.700000 | -1.100000 | -1.50 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 5.500000 | 2.900000 | 2.300000 | 3.03 | low |
| Monday, October 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 6.8 | 7 | 8.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.43 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.600000 | 0.700000 | 0.400000 | 0.43 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.900000 | 6.800000 | 7.000000 | 8.20 | low |
| Tuesday, October 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:15 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.43 | 3.54 | 3.4 | 3.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.430000 | 3.540000 | 3.400000 | 3.38 | low |
| Monday, September 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.8 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 0.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 18.3 | 23.5 | 23 | 24.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 18.300000 | 23.500000 | 23.000000 | 24.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 0.400000 | 2.200000 | 0.800000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | 1.500000 | 1.400000 | 2.800000 | NaN | low |
| Friday, September 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 2.8 | 3.4 | 2.9 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 2.800000 | 3.400000 | 2.900000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, September 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:10 | BG | Current Account | 836.6 | 222.8 | 400 | 154.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 836.600000 | 222.800000 | 400.000000 | 154.15 | low |
| Monday, September 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.58 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.100000 | 0.800000 | 0.400000 | 0.58 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.100000 | 2.400000 | 2.500000 | 2.55 | low |
| Wednesday, September 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -787.8 | -631 | -610 | -911.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -787.800000 | -631.000000 | -610.000000 | -911.82 | low |
| Tuesday, September 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -2.5 | -4.9 | -3.8 | -4.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 3.23 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0.6 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.02 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.200000 | 0.02 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.500000 | 2.900000 | 2.500000 | 3.23 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -2.500000 | -4.900000 | -3.800000 | -4.20 | low |
| Thursday, September 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 6.8 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 6.60 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.13 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 1.93 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.100000 | 1.900000 | 2.000000 | 1.93 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.500000 | 0.500000 | 0.500000 | 0.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.200000 | 1.500000 | 2.100000 | 2.13 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 6.800000 | 4.400000 | 5.400000 | 6.60 | low |
| Monday, September 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.54 | 3.53 | 3.4 | 3.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.540000 | 3.530000 | 3.400000 | 3.38 | low |
| Friday, August 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | 1.4 | -0.2 | 0.8 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 2.2 | -0.3 | 0.1 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 2.200000 | -0.300000 | 0.100000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | 1.400000 | -0.200000 | 0.800000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, August 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23.5 | 23 | 23 | 24.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23.500000 | 23.000000 | 23.000000 | 24.20 | low |
| Wednesday, August 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 3.4 | 5.8 | 8 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 3.400000 | 5.800000 | 8.000000 | NaN | low |
| Friday, August 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:10 | BG | Current Account | 222.8 | 185.3 | 50 | -195.85 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 222.800000 | 185.300000 | 50.000000 | -195.85 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.800000 | -0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.28 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.400000 | 2.500000 | 2.700000 | 2.75 | low |
| Wednesday, August 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2 | 1.8 | 2 | 1.93 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.000000 | 1.800000 | 2.000000 | 1.93 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.52 | low |
| Monday, August 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -640.4 | -1249 | -1770 | -2071.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -640.400000 | -1249.000000 | -1770.000000 | -2071.82 | low |
| Friday, August 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -5.2 | -4.9 | -2.5 | -2.90 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -0.2 | -2.4 | -1.1 | -1.28 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.9 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.93 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.900000 | 4.500000 | 2.200000 | 2.93 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -0.200000 | -2.400000 | -1.100000 | -1.28 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -5.200000 | -4.900000 | -2.500000 | -2.90 | low |
| Wednesday, August 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -8.4 | -14 | -10 | -11.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -8.400000 | -14.000000 | -10.000000 | -11.13 | low |
| Tuesday, August 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.4 | -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.17 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.30 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 4.300000 | 1.600000 | 1.100000 | 2.30 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.400000 | -0.800000 | -0.200000 | -0.17 | low |
| Thursday, August 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.53 | 3.63 | 3.6 | 3.58 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.530000 | 3.630000 | 3.600000 | 3.58 | low |
| Tuesday, July 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23 | 24.5 | 24 | 25.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -0.3 | -1.2 | 1.4 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.4 | 2.7 | 0.4 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.400000 | 2.700000 | 0.400000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -0.300000 | -1.200000 | 1.400000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23.000000 | 24.500000 | 24.000000 | 25.20 | low |
| Monday, July 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 5.8 | 6.6 | 7 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 5.800000 | 6.600000 | 7.000000 | NaN | low |
| Wednesday, July 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Current Account | 185.3 | -59.9 | 90 | -155.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 185.300000 | -59.900000 | 90.000000 | -155.85 | low |
| Monday, July 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.2 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.18 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.500000 | 2.300000 | 2.500000 | 2.55 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.200000 | -0.200000 | 0.000000 | 0.18 | low |
| Wednesday, July 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1249 | -1271 | -1310 | -1611.82 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -6.3 | -0.4 | 0.2 | -0.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 4.5 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.63 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -3.3 | 2.8 | 0.1 | -0.08 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -3.300000 | 2.800000 | 0.100000 | -0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 4.500000 | 3.000000 | 2.900000 | 3.63 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -6.300000 | -0.400000 | 0.200000 | -0.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1249.000000 | -1271.000000 | -1310.000000 | -1611.82 | low |
| Friday, July 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 1.6 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 5.70 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.8 | 1.3 | -0.8 | -0.77 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.800000 | 1.300000 | -0.800000 | -0.77 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 1.600000 | 9.900000 | 4.500000 | 5.70 | low |
| Monday, July 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.63 | 3.78 | 3.78 | 3.76 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.630000 | 3.780000 | 3.780000 | 3.76 | low |
| Friday, June 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 2.7 | -0.1 | 0.2 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24.5 | 25.4 | 25 | 26.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -1.2 | -6.6 | -4 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -1.200000 | -6.600000 | -4.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24.500000 | 25.400000 | 25.000000 | 26.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | 2.700000 | -0.100000 | 0.200000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, June 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.6 | 1.1 | 1 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.600000 | 1.100000 | 1.000000 | NaN | low |
| Monday, June 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | BG | Current Account | -56.9 | 23.4 | -15 | -260.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | -56.900000 | 23.400000 | -15.000000 | -260.85 | low |
| Friday, June 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.08 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.100000 | 0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.300000 | 2.400000 | 2.500000 | 2.55 | low |
| Tuesday, June 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1286.6 | -841.6 | -1050 | -1351.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1286.600000 | -841.600000 | -1050.000000 | -1351.82 | low |
| Monday, June 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -0.3 | -7.8 | -2 | -2.40 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.8 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 5.23 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 3.3 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.48 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 3.300000 | -0.400000 | -0.300000 | -0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 2.800000 | 3.400000 | 4.500000 | 5.23 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -0.300000 | -7.800000 | -2.000000 | -2.40 | low |
| Friday, June 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.63 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.42 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.42 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.800000 | 1.700000 | 1.700000 | 1.63 | low |
| Thursday, June 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 9.9 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 3.10 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.9 | -0.6 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 1.900000 | -0.600000 | 0.100000 | 0.13 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 9.900000 | 0.300000 | 1.900000 | 3.10 | low |
| Monday, June 3, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.78 | 3.78 | 3.7 | 3.68 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.780000 | 3.780000 | 3.700000 | 3.68 | low |
| Thursday, May 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 25.4 | 24.8 | 25 | 26.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -6.6 | -8.7 | -6 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.1 | -1.6 | -0.9 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.100000 | -1.600000 | -0.900000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -6.600000 | -8.700000 | -6.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 25.400000 | 24.800000 | 25.000000 | 26.20 | low |
| Wednesday, May 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 1.1 | 7.2 | 9 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 1.100000 | 7.200000 | 9.000000 | NaN | low |
| Friday, May 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | BG | Current Account | 338.7 | 226.9 | -130 | -375.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 338.700000 | 226.900000 | -130.000000 | -375.85 | low |
| Wednesday, May 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.03 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.500000 | 0.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.400000 | 3.000000 | 2.900000 | 2.95 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.300000 | 0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.28 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.700000 | 1.600000 | 2.100000 | 2.03 | low |
| Monday, May 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1279.5 | -1319 | -1180 | -1481.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1279.500000 | -1319.000000 | -1180.000000 | -1481.82 | low |
| Friday, May 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -14 | -15.5 | -28 | -29.13 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -1 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.48 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 3.7 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 1.63 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -7.6 | -7.9 | -4.3 | -4.70 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -7.600000 | -7.900000 | -4.300000 | -4.70 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 3.700000 | 4.300000 | 0.900000 | 1.63 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -1.000000 | 0.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -14.000000 | -15.500000 | -28.000000 | -29.13 | low |
| Thursday, May 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -0.27 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 0.3 | 3.2 | 3 | 4.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 0.300000 | 3.200000 | 3.000000 | 4.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.600000 | 0.300000 | -0.300000 | -0.27 | low |
| Tuesday, April 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.6 | -0.6 | 0.2 | NaN | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -8.7 | -9.3 | -5.7 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -8.700000 | -9.300000 | -5.700000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.600000 | -0.600000 | 0.200000 | NaN | low |
| Monday, April 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24.8 | 23 | 25 | 26.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 7.2 | 15.6 | 3 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 7.200000 | 15.600000 | 3.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24.800000 | 23.000000 | 25.000000 | 26.20 | low |
| Wednesday, April 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Current Account | 275.8 | -3.6 | 150 | -95.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 275.800000 | -3.600000 | 150.000000 | -95.85 | low |
| Monday, April 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.55 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.48 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.000000 | 3.300000 | 3.500000 | 3.55 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.200000 | 0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.48 | low |
| Thursday, April 11, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1061.9 | -1226.3 | -1350 | -1651.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1061.900000 | -1226.300000 | -1350.000000 | -1651.82 | low |
| Wednesday, April 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0 | -2.5 | 0.8 | 0.62 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -8.3 | -7.5 | -6.5 | -6.90 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 3.3 | 0 | 1.4 | 2.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 3.300000 | 0.000000 | 1.400000 | 2.13 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -8.300000 | -7.500000 | -6.500000 | -6.90 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 0.000000 | -2.500000 | 0.800000 | 0.62 | low |
| Friday, April 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 3.2 | -0.1 | -1 | 0.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 2.8 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -0.27 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 2.800000 | 0.300000 | -0.300000 | -0.27 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 3.200000 | -0.100000 | -1.000000 | 0.20 | low |
| Monday, April 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.79 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.78 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.790000 | 3.800000 | 3.800000 | 3.78 | low |
| Thursday, March 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 15.6 | 4.1 | 6.8 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 15.600000 | 4.100000 | 6.800000 | NaN | low |
| Thursday, March 21, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Current Account | -3.6 | 28.1 | -110 | -355.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | -3.600000 | 28.100000 | -110.000000 | -355.85 | low |
| Thursday, March 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.48 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 3.35 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.300000 | 3.800000 | 3.300000 | 3.35 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.300000 | 0.500000 | 0.300000 | 0.48 | low |
| Wednesday, March 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1227.5 | -1485.9 | -1440 | -1741.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1227.500000 | -1485.900000 | -1440.000000 | -1741.82 | low |
| Friday, March 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 | 0.03 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.53 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -2.5 | 4 | -0.9 | -1.08 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -7.5 | -5.3 | -4.5 | -4.90 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -7.500000 | -5.300000 | -4.500000 | -4.90 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -2.500000 | 4.000000 | -0.900000 | -1.08 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.600000 | 1.800000 | 1.600000 | 1.53 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | 0.700000 | 0.000000 | -0.700000 | 0.03 | low |
| Thursday, March 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 0.3 | -0.7 | 1 | 1.03 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.50 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | -0.100000 | 0.700000 | 1.300000 | 2.50 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 0.300000 | -0.700000 | 1.000000 | 1.03 | low |
| Friday, March 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.8 | 3.79 | 3.8 | 3.78 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.800000 | 3.790000 | 3.800000 | 3.78 | low |
| Thursday, February 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -14.2 | -14.6 | -13.1 | NaN | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.8 | -0.6 | -0.5 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -1.800000 | -0.600000 | -0.500000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -14.200000 | -14.600000 | -13.100000 | NaN | low |
| Wednesday, February 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24 | 23.3 | 24 | 25.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 24.000000 | 23.300000 | 24.000000 | 25.20 | low |
| Tuesday, February 27, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 4.1 | 3.1 | 2.9 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 4.100000 | 3.100000 | 2.900000 | NaN | low |
| Friday, February 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Current Account | 141.3 | -507.3 | -225 | -470.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | 141.300000 | -507.300000 | -225.000000 | -470.85 | low |
| Thursday, February 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 4.35 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -0.2 | -0.02 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.500000 | 0.300000 | -0.200000 | -0.02 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.800000 | 4.700000 | 4.300000 | 4.35 | low |
| Wednesday, February 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.12 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.600000 | 1.800000 | 1.300000 | 1.23 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.100000 | 0.12 | low |
| Friday, February 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | -3.6 | -3.2 | -1.6 | -0.87 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -6.9 | -10.9 | -7.2 | -7.60 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 3.3 | -3.2 | 1.7 | 1.52 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1320.8 | -1585.9 | -1000 | -1301.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1320.800000 | -1585.900000 | -1000.000000 | -1301.82 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | 3.300000 | -3.200000 | 1.700000 | 1.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -6.900000 | -10.900000 | -7.200000 | -7.60 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | -3.600000 | -3.200000 | -1.600000 | -0.87 | low |
| Wednesday, February 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -15.5 | -22.2 | -24 | -25.13 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Consumer Confidence | -15.500000 | -22.200000 | -24.000000 | -25.13 | low |
| Tuesday, February 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.27 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 0.7 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 5.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 0.700000 | 3.200000 | 3.800000 | 5.00 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | -0.600000 | -0.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.27 | low |
| Thursday, February 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.79 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.78 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Interest Rate Decision | 3.790000 | 3.800000 | 3.800000 | 3.78 | low |
| Tuesday, January 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -14.6 | -11.2 | -13.8 | NaN | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | NaN | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23.3 | 20.7 | 22 | 23.20 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Business Confidence | 23.300000 | 20.700000 | 22.000000 | 23.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI MoM | -0.600000 | 0.500000 | 0.400000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BG | PPI YoY | -14.600000 | -11.200000 | -13.800000 | NaN | low |
| Monday, January 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 3.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 3.100000 | 3.400000 | 2.100000 | NaN | low |
| Wednesday, January 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | BG | Current Account | -297.6 | 37.5 | 105 | -140.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Current Account | -297.600000 | 37.500000 | 105.000000 | -140.85 | low |
| Monday, January 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.7 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 5.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.700000 | 5.400000 | 5.100000 | 5.15 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.28 | low |
| Friday, January 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1597.6 | -1119.2 | -1130 | -1431.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Balance of Trade | -1597.600000 | -1119.200000 | -1130.000000 | -1431.82 | low |
| Wednesday, January 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -10.9 | -5.4 | -4.8 | -5.20 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | -3 | -1.2 | -0.7 | 0.03 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -3.2 | 2.6 | -0.7 | -0.88 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production MoM | -3.200000 | 2.600000 | -0.700000 | -0.88 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Construction Output YoY | -3.000000 | -1.200000 | -0.700000 | 0.03 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Industrial Production YoY | -10.900000 | -5.400000 | -4.800000 | -5.20 | low |
| Monday, January 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 1.3 | -0.6 | -0.57 | Low |
| 09:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 3.70 | Low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales YoY | 3.200000 | 3.100000 | 2.500000 | 3.70 | low |
| 00:00 | BG | Retail Sales MoM | 0.500000 | 1.300000 | -0.600000 | -0.57 | low |
| Sunday, January 1, 2023 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3090044.00 | 3090044.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 61.89 | 61.89 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 101584384672.79 | 101584384672.79 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 1.87 | 1.87 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.44 | 4.44 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.24 | -0.24 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.24 | -0.24 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.32 | 4.32 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 151.67 | 151.67 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 6430370.00 | 6430370.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 57.78 | 57.78 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 9.44 | 9.44 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | -2.86 | -2.86 | - | - | Medium |
| Saturday, January 1, 2022 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 39989.00 | 39989.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3213429.00 | 3213429.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 69.98 | 69.98 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.78 | 1.78 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.65 | -0.65 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 90346169914.94 | 90346169914.94 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 1.59 | 1.59 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 3.75 | 3.75 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.65 | -0.65 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 102.45 | 102.45 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.27 | 4.27 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 3.93 | 3.93 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 138.58 | 138.58 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 30.20 | 30.20 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 6465097.00 | 6465097.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 68.86 | 68.86 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 15.33 | 15.33 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | -10.70 | -10.70 | - | - | Medium |
| Friday, January 1, 2021 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.80 | -1.80 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.80 | -1.80 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 84041493015.66 | 84041493015.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.10 | 2.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.12 | 4.12 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 85.46 | 85.46 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 5.27 | 5.27 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 7.66 | 7.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 120.17 | 120.17 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 32.75 | 32.75 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 6877743.00 | 6877743.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 59.34 | 59.34 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | -2.82 | -2.82 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.30 | 3.30 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 61.82 | 61.82 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 39544.00 | 39544.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3250184.00 | 3250184.00 | - | - | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 1, 2020 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.04 | -0.04 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 70368758395.14 | 70368758395.14 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.16 | 2.16 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.34 | 4.34 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 90.09 | 90.09 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 7.77 | 7.77 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 5.12 | 5.12 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | -3.97 | -3.97 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 116.33 | 116.33 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 32.10 | 32.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 6934015.00 | 6934015.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Armed forces personnel, total | 37000.00 | 37000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 53.90 | 53.90 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | 0.07 | 0.07 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 1.67 | 1.67 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.61 | 0.61 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 56.42 | 56.42 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 35099.00 | 35099.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3295956.00 | 3295956.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -0.04 | -0.04 | - | - | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 1, 2019 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to start a business (days) | 23.00 | 23.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 68881010245.55 | 68881010245.55 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.05 | 2.05 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.55 | 4.55 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 95.50 | 95.50 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 7.66 | 7.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.23 | 4.23 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 114.42 | 114.42 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 4.04 | 4.04 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 27.03 | 27.03 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 6975761.00 | 6975761.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Armed forces personnel, total | 37000.00 | 37000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 97.00 | 97.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 60.85 | 60.85 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | -0.66 | -0.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.10 | 3.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 64.18 | 64.18 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 43093.00 | 43093.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3379047.00 | 3379047.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 1.83 | 1.83 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 1.83 | 1.83 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | Medium |
| Monday, January 1, 2018 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to start a business (days) | 23.00 | 23.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP (current US$) | 66370132238.39 | 66370132238.39 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.25 | 2.25 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Lending interest rate (%) | 4.96 | 4.96 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 4.17 | 4.17 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 98.21 | 98.21 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 7.47 | 7.47 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 5.21 | 5.21 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 110.97 | 110.97 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.69 | 2.69 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 28.73 | 28.73 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 7025037.00 | 7025037.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Armed forces personnel, total | 36950.00 | 36950.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 97.00 | 97.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 63.10 | 63.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | 0.70 | 0.70 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 2.81 | 2.81 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 0.84 | 0.84 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.67 | 0.67 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 65.77 | 65.77 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 46131.00 | 46131.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3330474.00 | 3330474.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 0.84 | 0.84 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | Medium |
| Sunday, January 1, 2017 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BGR | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 92.82 | 92.82 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 6.16 | 6.16 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 7.34 | 7.34 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 107.94 | 107.94 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.75 | 2.75 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 32.24 | 32.24 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Population, total | 7075947.00 | 7075947.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Armed forces personnel, total | 31000.00 | 31000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 97.00 | 97.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 62.64 | 62.64 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Real interest rate (%) | 0.60 | 0.60 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 2.06 | 2.06 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 3.35 | 3.35 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | 3.35 | 3.35 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.68 | 0.68 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 66.99 | 66.99 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | New businesses registered (number) | 46746.00 | 46746.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Labor force, total | 3361516.00 | 3361516.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BGR | Time required to start a business (days) | 23.00 | 23.00 | - | - | Medium |